Week 1 Fantasy Football Question: Kurt Warner or Matt Schaub?…It’s Closer than you think!

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Kurt Warner was very good in 2008, delivering a season so prolific you would have sworn he was wearing a Rams jersey.

In 2008, Warner put up 4,582 yards and 30 touchdowns, numbers most fantasy football owners dream of. He finished 5th among quarterbacks, despite having a terrible last couple of weeks of the season due to the “weather problems” in the Arizona Cardinals schedule.

So how does a QB that finished 5th among fantasy quarterbacks compare to a guy who missed 5 games in the same season?

Quite favorably.

I know Houston Texans quarterback Matt Schaub is a liability due to his ability to get hurt, but his ability to pass the ball far outweighs that. Even with 5 games chalked up to injury, Schaub still finished among the top 20 quarterbacks in fantasy football, and he threw for 3,043 yards and 15 touchdowns. On a per game basis, Schaub was better than the likes of Peyton Manning, Donovan McNabb, Matt Cassell and Brett Favre. Most importantly, using his average fantasy points per game, Schaub was right there with the one and only Kurt Warner, who averaged just 0.6 points/game more than Schaub (according to ESPN Standard Scoring).

And while Schaub’s recent injury in a preseason game against Minnesota doesn’t help this point, I’d say Schaub is just about due for an injury-free season. But even if he isn’t, who cares?

If you can get Kurt Warner production for 11 games, for a guy you can get more than 3 rounds later in your fantasy football draft, why not take the chance? Besides, there are plenty of late-round picks you can get to stand in for Schaub for 5 games, including Carson Palmer (ADP: 87th), Matt Hasselbeck (ADP: 113th), and David Garrard (ADP: 125th). Of course, if Schaub doesn’t get injured, you get the full 16 games, and that’s upside that’s hard to ignore.

So in choosing between Schaub and Warner, go with the quarterback that comes at a much cheaper price! Besides, this Houston Texans offense, which finished 3rd in the NFL last year, is prime for an even bigger year in 2009. Thus, the Texans have plenty of reason to keep their quarterback standing tall in the pocket, and so long as he’s protected, he’s one of the best quarterbacks in all of fantasy football.

Week 1 Fantasy Football Projections – Top Picks
1. Quarterback Projections
2. Running Back Projections
3. Wide Receiver Projections
4. Tight End Projections
5. Defensive Projections

Week 1 Fantasy Football Projections – Extra Picks
1. Quarterback Fantasy Football Projections
2. Running Back Fantasy Football Projections
3. Wide Receiver Fantasy Football Projections
4. Tight End Fantasy Football Projections

Week 1 Fantasy Football Projections – Sleeper Picks
1. Quarterback Sleeper Picks
2. Running Back Sleeper Picks
3. Wide Receiver Sleeper Picks
4. Tight Ends Sleeper Picks
5. Defensive Sleeper Picks

Week 1 Fantasy Football Projections – Duds
1. Quarterback Duds
2. Running back Duds
3. Wide Receiver Duds

Fantasy Football Week 1 – Buy or Sell
1. Quarterbacks: Buy Garrard, Sell Favre

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